Dec

10

This Month in Real Estate – December 2011

Posted by hilaryhill under Uncategorized

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Hilary Hill
336-312-5778 (Office)

Keller Williams Realty
2280 S. Church Street Ste 206
Burlington, NC 27215

December 2011 Market Update
One of the key drivers of homes sales, the employment rate, is beginning to show promising signs of a turnaround. The four-week average for jobless claims, as of November 19, was 394,250, a drop of 3,250 from the previous four weeks, and at the lowest levels since April. Consumer confidence also rose 15 points in the last month, and is now at its highest point since July of this year. Eric Green, Chief Market Economist at TD Securities Inc. said, “The trend remains very constructive. Jobless claims are back below 400,000, which seems to be the pivot point in terms of a strengthening labor market as opposed to a weakening one.”

In addition to improving employment conditions, home affordability also improved as interest rates fell further, opening the door for more first-time home buyers who accounted for 34% of the sales in October, an increase from 32% last month and over last year. The western United States saw the greatest increase in home sales, which were up 4.4% month to month and up over 15% from last year.

A strengthening job market, along with encouraging signs from the housing sector, including a 10% jump in pending sales for October, are strong economic forces. While mortgage lending still remains a challenge, these forces may send a signal to banks to relax lending regulations and allow for a more rapid recovery.

This Month’s Video

Interest Rates

Click to play

Mortgage rates continue to push lower, dropping to 3.98% from 4.23% in October of 2010, offering historic affordability to today’s home buyers. While mortgage lending conditions continue to be a challenge, more and more people are seeing the advantage of buying a home sooner rather than later. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said, “Home sales have been plodding along at a sub-par level while interest rates are hovering at record lows and there is a pent-up demand from buyers who normally would have entered the market in recent years. We hope this indicates more buyers are taking advantage of the excellent
affordability conditions.”
Home Sales
Existing homes sales improved 1.4% in October, or to an annual pace of 4.97 million, a 13.5% increase from October of last year. Even more dramatic, was the jump in pending home sales, which surged in October by 10.4% from September, and were up 9.2% from October 2010. This jump in pending sales could lead to a strong fourth quarter as signs continue to point to a pent-up demand brought on by current lending conditions of mortgage providers.
Home Prices
The national median home price in the U.S. saw a small decline in October to $162,500, from $165,800 in September. This number can be affected by the sale of distressed properties, which typically sell at discounted prices. Distressed properties accounted for 28% of homes sales in October. Yet despite a drop in the median price from last September, the Federal Housing Finance Authority reported that seasonally adjusted prices rose 0.2% in the third quarter from the second quarter in 2011, which could be an early sign of appreciating home prices.
Inventory
By the end of October, the total number of homes on the market had fallen 2.2% to 3.33 million homes, which represents 8 months of inventory at the current sales pace. Since a record high of 4.58 million homes in July 2008, the inventory of homes for sale has been steadily declining. When homes sell faster than they come on the market, the market comes from its current favor toward buyers into balance or in favor of sellers. This can trigger an appreciation in home prices and lead the way to a stronger recovery.
Deciding to Buy
When first-time home buyers decide they are ready to buy, it is important for them to begin the process by carefully assessing their values, wants, and needs—both for the short and long term. This is a critical step since consultation sessions normally start with the buyers’ values. Afterward, buyers can explore their wants and needs and, once defined, determine actual criteria.

A recent study shows how important the following home-buying factors were to buyers:

• List Price: 72%
• Location: 69%
• Neighborhood: 55%
• Floor Plan: 37%
• Square Footage: 28%
• Schools: 22%

By having the home-buying criteria in mind before walking into a consultation, buyers are off to a better start when meeting with their real estate agent. The consultation allows buyers to fill in any missing gaps within their values, wants, and needs.

Each Office is Independently Owned and Operated.
Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed on This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.

In my personal experience, the short sale process is finally starting to make sense.  For those of you out there who aren’t familiar with a short sale, it simply means that a distressed home-owner’s mortgage company has agreed to entertain offers for less than the homeowner owes on the home.  All offers are subject to bank approval.  This is good for the bank because they sell the home and avoid the expensive foreclosure process.  And it’s good for the seller because they unload the property before they lose it in foreclosure.  Although you should verifiy this with an attorney or credit counselor, my understanding is that a foreclosure has a much more severe effect on a credit score.  With a foreclosure on your record you can’t be eligible to buy a home again for up to 7 years!  With a short sale on your record, however, you may be eligible to buy in as little as 2 years.  This alone is a huge reason for distressed homeowners to attempt a short sale first!

A few years back the short sale process was just a mess.  It took months and months months to get anything accomplished.  One lovely family that I worked with in 2007 had 4 or 5 offers on their home, we did everything right but after a year of trying to negotiate with the bank, they finally lost the home into foreclosure.  The bank subsequently ended up relisting the home for sale for $40,000 less than our best offer had been.   What sense does that make?  Back then the agent working with the seller would be tossed around from contact to contact and negotiator to negotiator within the bank and in many instances there was never any final approval.  The term “short sale” became a real turn-off to agents and buyers. 

The good news . . . The larger banks seem to have finally gotten their act together!  We’ve been able to sucessfully negotiate and close several short sales this year through Wells Fargo and Bank of America.  They now have a system that works and provides communication from both sides.  It is wonderful!  This is great news for agents and for bargain-hunting buyers out there.  Don’t get me wrong, it still takes some time to get a short sale deal to closing but that timeline is much better defined in 2011 than it was in years past. 

To be a candidate for a short sale you need to show the bank that your hardship is unintentional and unavoidable.  If that is the situation you are in, please act sooner rather than later.  Call an agent (like me!) and we will walk you through the process.  It can be frustrating and time consuming and require a lot of documentation but it will be worth it in the end.

What are Home Buyers attracted to in 2011?
Each individual buyer is different so it’s a challenge to know what may make a buyer choose one house over another. But there are some consistant items that come up on the top of the list for the vast majority. These three are 1) Location, 2) Price, 3) Condition. As an agent or home seller the location is what it is so pricing and condition have to be treated with the utmost care and importance.
Here is a chart of how some items rank in importance:

We see buyers looking for value. What has the most features for the price? Buyers seem to have trended away from the “bigger is better” mentality. Consumers now consider that a 5000 square foot home is also much more expensive to mainatain, heat/cool, and clean. They want a smaller, more versatile floorplan with extras like granite counters and outdoor entertaining space.

Our advice to sellers . . . Make sure your home is the the cleanest and best mainatained home in your price range. That is the way to get a buyer to choose your home first.

As sellers get motivated to move their properties by the end of 2012, buyers have even more to choose from!
HHH Team Price Sheet 10-18

September 2011 Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown notable stability in 2011 compared to the previous two years when the tax credit made a clear impact. Although recent economic indicators have been less than expected, including a downward revision of GDP and consumer confidence that mirrors early 2009, owning a home is still valued by the majority of Americans. 72% of renters say owning is a top priority for their future, up from 68% a year earlier.

However, most aspiring homeowners are held back by two main factors: funds for a down payment (82%) and confidence in their job security (80%). Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke emphasized the importance of a healthy housing market to a robust recovery. He stressed the adverse effects of tighter credit conditions for borrowers, urging Congress to take tax and policy measures to help stabilize the market. He also noted the significance of addressing long-term fiscal policies including debt levels, upcoming expenses to support an aging population, and taxes.

Buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability. Although the Fed made a commitment to keep its interest rate at the current level until mid-2013, mortgage rates can, and often do, still fluctuate. In the midst of these reports, it is important to keep in mind the path to recovery was always expected to be a long and uneven road. As we progress toward a stronger recovery, economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to keep inflation in line.

Home Sales

in millions

Home sales in July were up by 21% from the same month last year when the expiration of the tax credit resulted in a significant drop in sales. However, they were down 3.5% compared to June. This could be due in part to NAR™s report that 16% of members experienced a contract failure from issues in underwriting and appraisals during July. NAR President Ron Phipps states, œFor both mortgage credit and home appraisals, there™s been a parallel pendulum swing from very loose standards, which led to the housing boom, to unnecessarily restrictive practices as an overreaction to the housing correction.

Home Price

in thousands

Home prices dipped by less than 1% in July with median home price at $174,000. This is 4.5% below the year-ago level which followed a strong spring season of sales driven by the tax credit. Median home prices remain close to 2002“2003 levels. Distressed sales continue to count for almost 1 in 3 homes sold. The combination of low prices and record-breaking low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace of sales was up slightly during July compared to June. This is in keeping with historical trends, which show that inventory levels typically rise during the summer months. The month™s supply remained 25% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 13% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates hit a new record low in August of 4.15%, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to be fully realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates will not last forever.

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

As the weather gets cooler, some homeowners could be considering undertaking home renovations or updates before the holiday season. Here are a few findings about updates and home sales:

  1. Homeowners typically spend considerably more on updates to their home when planning to live in and enjoy it, with an average of nearly $9,000.
  2. In contrast, they only spend an average of $3,400 when making updates in preparation to sell.
  3. The most common updates sellers performed before listing were paint, flooring, and light fixtures.
  4. Although the majority of buyers were least likely to compromise on the location, 16% were least likely to compromise on updates.
  5. 75% of homes sold were either fairly updated or very updated.
  6. Sellers began repairing their home 1 to 8 weeks in advance of listing.
Source: KW Market Navigator and KW Research

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.

September 2011 Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown notable stability in 2011 compared to the previous two years when the tax credit made a clear impact. Although recent economic indicators have been less than expected, including a downward revision of GDP and consumer confidence that mirrors early 2009, owning a home is still valued by the majority of Americans. 72% of renters say owning is a top priority for their future, up from 68% a year earlier.

However, most aspiring homeowners are held back by two main factors: funds for a down payment (82%) and confidence in their job security (80%). Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke emphasized the importance of a healthy housing market to a robust recovery. He stressed the adverse effects of tighter credit conditions for borrowers, urging Congress to take tax and policy measures to help stabilize the market. He also noted the significance of addressing long-term fiscal policies including debt levels, upcoming expenses to support an aging population, and taxes.

Buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability. Although the Fed made a commitment to keep its interest rate at the current level until mid-2013, mortgage rates can, and often do, still fluctuate. In the midst of these reports, it is important to keep in mind the path to recovery was always expected to be a long and uneven road. As we progress toward a stronger recovery, economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to keep inflation in line.

Home Sales

in millions

Home sales in July were up by 21% from the same month last year when the expiration of the tax credit resulted in a significant drop in sales. However, they were down 3.5% compared to June. This could be due in part to NAR™s report that 16% of members experienced a contract failure from issues in underwriting and appraisals during July. NAR President Ron Phipps states, œFor both mortgage credit and home appraisals, there™s been a parallel pendulum swing from very loose standards, which led to the housing boom, to unnecessarily restrictive practices as an overreaction to the housing correction.

Home Price

in thousands

Home prices dipped by less than 1% in July with median home price at $174,000. This is 4.5% below the year-ago level which followed a strong spring season of sales driven by the tax credit. Median home prices remain close to 2002“2003 levels. Distressed sales continue to count for almost 1 in 3 homes sold. The combination of low prices and record-breaking low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace of sales was up slightly during July compared to June. This is in keeping with historical trends, which show that inventory levels typically rise during the summer months. The month™s supply remained 25% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 13% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates hit a new record low in August of 4.15%, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to be fully realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates will not last forever.

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

As the weather gets cooler, some homeowners could be considering undertaking home renovations or updates before the holiday season. Here are a few findings about updates and home sales:

  1. Homeowners typically spend considerably more on updates to their home when planning to live in and enjoy it, with an average of nearly $9,000.
  2. In contrast, they only spend an average of $3,400 when making updates in preparation to sell.
  3. The most common updates sellers performed before listing were paint, flooring, and light fixtures.
  4. Although the majority of buyers were least likely to compromise on the location, 16% were least likely to compromise on updates.
  5. 75% of homes sold were either fairly updated or very updated.
  6. Sellers began repairing their home 1 to 8 weeks in advance of listing.
Source: KW Market Navigator and KW Research

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011  Market UpdateThe U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.    Home Sales

in millions

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.
 Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.  Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.  

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest RatesMortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.    

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s VideoTopics For Home Owners, Buyers & SellersAfter a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.  

 Contact me,your local real estate expert,for information about what’s going on in our area.    
 
Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.  You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.  Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.  All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.  Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.  You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.  All investments involve some degree of risk.  Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011   Market Update

The U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.

The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.

Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.

 

Home Sales

in millions

 

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.

Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.

 

Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 

The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.   Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.

 

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.  

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s Video

Topics For Home Owners, Buyers & Sellers

After a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.

Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.

 

Contact me,

your local real estate expert,

for information about what’s going on in our area.  

 

 

 

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.  
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.   You should not treat any opinion expressed  in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.   All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.   Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.   You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.   All investments involve some degree of risk.   Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in  This Month in Real Estate.

 

August 2011  Market UpdateThe U.S. housing market has shown increased stability in home sales during 2011 compared to the previous year. Home prices are up 18% since their low in February. Signs of recovery remain mixed in the economy”employment and GDP came in less than expected while the strong points were in consumer confidence and new home starts.The debt ceiling has been raised without any drastic changes to occur immediately. Although this prevents a sudden shock to a weakening recovery, over the next year and a half, experts anticipate considerable changes in how the government spends and collects money. The uncertainty of what is to come and how it will impact various industries will likely cause some to play on the safe side. The good news is that the government remains solvent and will be able to pay its bills without major disruptions.Economic improvement typically spurs rising interest rates in order to rein in inflation. Although inflation has been a source of recent concern, the Fed appears confident it will remain in check for the near term. Meanwhile, buyers continue to benefit from historically favorable buying conditions, and sellers are encouraged by increased market stability.    Home Sales

in millions

Home sales in June were down 8.8% compared to the same month last year when the impact of the tax credit was at its peak. Compared to the previous month, however, sales held relatively steady at 0.8% below May™s numbers. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun cites an unusually high number of contract cancellations the month before as an explanation for the slight easing of sales in June.Home Price

in thousands

For the first time in a year, home prices are up year-over-year and month-over-month. This marks only the fourth time that prices have increased since June 2006. Home prices rebounded 8.9% in June with median home prices rising to $184,300. This is 0.8% above the year-ago level. Median home prices remain close to 2003“2004 levels. The combination of low prices and historically low interest rates means that home affordability is extremely favorable.
 Inventory- Month’s Supply

in months

 The supply of homes measured in months on the market at their current pace was up during June compared to May. This is keeping with inventory levels typically rise during the summer months.  Month™s supply remained 24% below the peak of 12.5 months in July 2010 and 14% above April of 2010 when the home buyer tax credit was in full swing.  

Source: National Association of Realtors

Interest RatesMortgage rates remain at record lows after steadily declining in May, primarily due to uncertainty in the global and domestic economies. While these incredible rates represent a significant savings for home buyers, experts note that for the benefits to fully be realized, lending conditions must loosen to enable more buyers to take advantage of them. As overall economic activity gets back on track, rates will likely rise to keep inflation in check. In other words, the window of opportunity for buyers to lock in these historically low interest rates may not remain open much longer.    

Source: Freddie Mac

This Month’s VideoTopics For Home Owners, Buyers & SellersAfter a drawn-out debate between the House and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans; Congress and the President reached a deal on August 2, 2011, to raise the debt ceiling. Because of the decision and the additional borrowed funds, the United States is safe from defaulting on its debt and will be able to pay its bills. The deal includes the following:

  • Immediately cuts spending by $917 billion and raises the debt ceiling by $400 billion. It will raise the ceiling by another $500 billion in February, providing funds through early 2013.
  • Creates a joint committee of twelve members from the House and Senate that will make recommendations for $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction measures, and if the plan is rejected by Congress, several automatic spending cuts will take effect.
  • Requires Congress to vote on adding a balanced budget amendment to the constitution, which would mandate that future spending cannot exceed revenues. If it passes, the debt ceiling can be raised by $1.5 trillion. If not, then it can only be raised by $1.2 trillion.

Lack of concrete details about how the deficit will be reduced sets the stage for continued political debate in the coming months and years. And with the U.S. securities AAA rating being threatened with a downgrade, the credit agencies will watch carefully to ensure Congress takes action to steer the country in a financially solvent direction. A downgrade would result in higher interest rates, making it more expensive for consumers and the government to borrow money.Bottom line: Crisis averted”it™s business as usual for now, but this is not the last to be heard regarding U.S. deficit and debt levels. Some reports indicate that this may change the game in Congress from œspend, spend, spend to œcut, cut, cut.  

 Contact me,your local real estate expert,for information about what’s going on in our area.    
 
Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources.  You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion.  Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind.  All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only.  Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice.  You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.  All investments involve some degree of risk.  Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.

2011 housing started out pretty strong here in central North Carolina.   But  we’ve been concerned about the economic uncertainty that the debt ceiling could create.   A good article below from the WordPress Blog for the National Association of Home Builders explians how the debt ceiling could cause mortgage rates to rise and consumer confidence to fall.   Both of these would drive buyer demand even further down which could cause the housing market to take a hit.   If you are thinking of buying and need a mortgage – now would be the time to lock in your interest rate.  

The Housing Market and the Debt Ceiling  Debate

July 25, 2011

“As negotiations continue  on whether and how to  raise the debt ceiling, it is important to keep in mind housing market  impacts that could occur due to the some of the  possible outcomes  being  discussed in  Washington.

Under the present law debt ceiling, the federal government may not borrow more than $14.3 trillion. The effect of this limit is that on August 2nd the federal government will not be able to  pay all its obligations with cash-on-hand and incoming tax receipts. For example, to run even with current tax receipts would require a 40% cut in current government expenditures.

Most analysts expect the debt ceiling to be increased under a plan that cuts a significant amount of government spending. Negotiations are occurring today  that  revolve around  rival plans championed by Speaker of the House John Boehner and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

But what impacts could the housing market experience if these negotiations fail to produce legislation that lifts the debt ceiling?

Most experts believe the government would continue to pay interest/principal on outstanding debt first, followed by expenditures like social security payments.  Last in line would be  certain discretionary government payments, perhaps including wages of federal employees.  The loss of these payments would certainly have a  significant short-term contractionary impact on the economy. This kind of œanti-stimulus would be particularly harmful at this moment given ongoing weakness with GDP growth and unemployment, both factors resulting in weak housing demand.

Moreover, under this scenario, even if the government continued servicing outstanding debt, thus avoiding even a  temporary default, the bond rating agencies could downgrade the AAA rating of federal government debt. In fact, it is possible that absent an adoption of a long-term deficit reduction plan, a debt ceiling increase allowing ongoing payment of all federal obligations will not satisfy the ratings agencies. These institutions could  keep the U.S. government on creditwatch or even downgrade given the forecasted size of future government spending.

The United States government is currently one of 18 countries  that have this top-tier, AAA  debt rating. Loss of the rating would have multiple negative economic consequences. It would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, which would lower bond prices and increase interest rates. Higher risk, non-government  debt could also be sold off as investors seek to maintain a certain average credit rating of  owned assets. Pension and money market funds in particular may need to reduce their holdings due to a loss of the AAA rating. In turn, higher interest rates for U.S. government debt could also increase long-run government expenditures by increasing interest expense making the long-run fiscal challenges worse.

Given that many interest rates are pegged to Treasury rates as matter of market practice,  these impacts  could certainly increase  interest rates for home mortgages, auto loans and other consumer durables and business loans. Along with weaker macroeconomic variables, an increase in mortgage rates would further weaken housing demand and place downward pressure on prices.

How much would interest rates increase?   There are many estimates, but none certain. The bond markets have viewed the ongoing negotiations with a posture of confidence in a deal getting done. However, it is possible that government interest rates could rise 100 basis points or more in the case of a temporary default, which might  spillover as higher rates for home mortgages. For the case of downgrade, the impact on interest rates would be smaller, but any increase in rates would weaken housing demand.

The timing of impacts for housing could also be delayed as increases in mortgage interest rates might take time to materialize in the market. A contrarian might also argue that demand for mortgage-backed securities might even increase somewhat, as investors move out of Treasuries and move into other assets perhaps offsetting a mortgage interest rate increase.

Nonetheless, the primary effect of a default or downgrade would be increased uncertainty. Home buyers are making purchase of a capital asset that they will own, on average, for ten years. Given other sources of uncertainty, particularly from the labor market, the largest impact from a failure to reach a deal that increases the debt ceiling would be to further increase concern and anxiety of families attempting to make long-term economic decisions.

And as we have seen, weakness in housing markets can easily produce a vicious cycle whereby housing price declines reduce household wealth, which reduces consumption, business growth, and job creation, further weakening housing demand and placing more downward pressure on housing prices. And of course the debt ceiling occurs in an environment  full of  housing policy debates, including the mortgage interest deduction (MID), the expiration of the conforming loan limits, and the qualified residential mortgage regulations (QRM).

What the housing market needs now is  more, not less,  certainty, with respect to housing policy and access to capital via the mortgage markets. This will help stabilize housing prices, thereby helping households repair balance sheets and set the stage for more robust economic growth.”

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It seems like more and more of my buyers are interested in fencing these days.   Either to  keep small children and dogs in or to keep  others out,  I get a lot of questions about fencing.   The article below by Oliver Marks has some good info and tips when it comes time to choose a fence . . .    

   

Fencing: A Guide to the Options

By: Oliver Marks

Published: March 9, 2010

When shopping for a fence, you need to consider everything from style to function to how much maintenance it™ll require.

A fence can do any of these things ” if you choose the right one. There are hundreds of different styles to choose from, plus a handful of different construction materials, each with their own maintenance requirements and prices.

And you™ll need to make sure your fence doesn™t create animosity in the neighborhood ” or even violate local laws and regulations. Here™s how to avoid those pitfalls and get a beautiful long-lasting fence that fits your home and your budget.

Follow the rules

Fences are subject to local zoning codes, which dictate the maximum height allowed, how far they must be from property lines, and whether they™re even permitted in front yards. So contact your municipality™s zoning department first, suggests Janet Arden, of the American Fence Association, a trade group based in Glen Ellyn, Ill.

Also, if you™re in a neighborhood association, a historic district, or a fairly new development, you may face further limitations on fence style, height, and location ” so check with local officials.

Be a good neighbor

As Robert Frost wrote, good fences make good neighbors ” but they can also make angry ones if the fence appears one day without warning. If possible, consult with any neighbors whose property will abut your new fence to give them a chance to prepare emotionally for the change. (Heck, they might even offer to share the cost if you compromise on some design feature that they prefer.)

Also, unless you™ve had your lot surveyed, ask your neighbors to confirm your understanding of where the property lines are, says Roy  Cuzzocreo of Orange Fence & Supply in Orange, Conn. œI™ve had to come back to relocate an entire fence by an inch and a half because the homeowner was wrong about the property line, he says.

Consider your goals

The first thing any fence salesman is going to ask you is why you want a fence”because your answer will help narrow your choices. There are four basic categories to choose from:

Privacy fence: If the goal is to block sight lines, you need solid fencing, which generally means it™ll have tightly spaced vertical boards, pickets (pointed stakes), or framed panels to prevent you from seeing out and others from seeing in. It should be at least 6 feet tall so most people won™t see over it”taller if the neighbor™s teenagers are on the basketball team.

If a little visibility is okay, then the pickets can have spaces between them, or you can use a lattice or decorative fence pattern.

Security fence: To keep people out, you™ll again want a fence that™s 6 feet tall or higher to hinder anyone from simply hopping over it. Pickets or other spiky tops help to deter climbers”especially if the fence has a smooth outer face, so there™s no place to step. For fences with horizontal rails on one side and vertical pickets on the other”in other words, for most fences”that means facing the pickets out.
 
Decorative fence: If the goal is to establish property lines, add a structural element to the landscape or boost curb appeal, your fence doesn™t need to be nearly as large or obtrusive. You can choose one that™s just two to four feet high, and with spaced pickets, latticework, or all sorts of ornamental designs that don™t block the view, but enhance it. Or you can go totally simple, with a rail fence (just posts and two or three horizontal members) like the ones used on horse farms.

Safety fence: To create a dog run, enclose a pool area, or deter wildlife from trespassing on your property”without changing the view”the most durable option is a wire fence, such as chain link. At their most economical, these consist of galvanized metal mesh, but adding a black or green vinyl coating helps to make the fence almost disappear from view. Or, for an even lower-cost fence, you can use a metal or plastic mesh hung on metal posts or stakes.

Pick your material

Once you™ve decided on your fence type, choose the material it™s made from. That™s what™s going to determine its price, the maintenance it needs, and its warranty. (Note: These are ballpark prices. Costs vary wildly around the country”and even among fence companies in the same ZIP code.)

Wood: By far the most common fence material, wood provides a traditional look at a moderate price. Depending on the species you choose, from low-cost pine to high-end cedar or redwood, your installer may recommend treating it with a stain or wood preservative to protect it from insects, rot, and ultraviolet light. Expect to repeat the job every three to five years.

Cost: $7 to $10 per foot, installed, for a simple split-rail fence; $20 to $50 per foot, installed, for a 6-foot high privacy fence.

Warranty: From 0 to 15 years depending on wood species and the retailer.

Vinyl and composite: These faux-wood fences are made from either solid vinyl or a mix of wood fibers and plastic resins. In either case, the material is formed into rails, pickets, and other fence parts that get assembled piece-by-piece just like wood fences.

Their color”usually white, but available in numerous hues”is mixed into the material itself, so they never need painting. The best of these products look exactly like the real thing, so if you want a painted wood fence, this is a way to get it without all of the maintenance that wood requires.

Cost: $40 to $60 per foot per foot, installed, for a 6-foot high privacy fence.

Warranty: From 20 years to lifetime, depending on manufacturer.

Iron and aluminum: The classic wrought-iron fence can be anything from an ornate decorative property-line marker to a tall, spiky enclosure that provides high security.

These days, though, the fences aren™t actually wrought iron. They™re made from welded tubes of steel or aluminum. Thanks to factory paint coatings, a good metal fence will need virtually no routine upkeep, though you should touchup any spots where the coating cracks or peels to prevent corrosion.

Cost: $25 to $30 per foot installed (for a 4 foot high fence), plus $5 to $10 per foot to add ornamental finials and rings.

Warranty: From 20 years to lifetime, depending on manufacturer.

Chain link and wire: The most economical of fences, chain link also has the advantage of almost disappearing into the scenery, especially if it has a black or green plastic coating on the mesh.

If, on the other hand, you prefer not to see through the fence, you can order it with vertical privacy slats woven into the mesh.

Cost: $12 to $15 per foot installed (for a 4 foot high fence); add $4 to $5 for vinyl coating and another $6 to $10 for privacy slats.

Warranty: From 12 to 15 years, depending on manufacturer.

A former carpenter and newspaper reporter, Oliver Marks has been writing about home improvements for 16 years. His back yard is encircled by a white picket fence that keeps his Labrador retriever close to home.